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Housing-market slowdown could benefit some buyers, but costs remain high

People walk into a house for sale in Floral Park, Nassau County, New York on Sept. 6, 2020.
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People walk into a house for sale in Floral Park, Nassau County, New York, on Sept. 6, 2020.

窪蹋勛圖厙 mortgage rates continue to hover above 5% as . While that may lead many to question whether homeownership is within reach, one 窪蹋勛圖厙 real estate expert said it might be the perfect time for some buyers.

Tammy Felenstein, president of the 窪蹋勛圖厙 Association of Realtors, called the current market one of the most interesting shes ever seen in her 26 years in the industry.

She said 2021 featured a perfect storm of prices going up and activity level through the roof. But she said 2022 is very different.

Theres definitely a slowdown, but I would call it more of a return to normalcy, Felenstein said. This is not a crash, its not a bubble; the demand is still there.

She said the slowdown is perfect for buyers who have grown tired of being outbid amid the or for those feeling what she called buyer fatigue.

They can rest up knowing that inventory levels are going up, they have more to choose from and they dont have to turn on a dime as they were having to a couple months ago, Felenstein said.

窪蹋勛圖厙 has four months of supply, according to the 窪蹋勛圖厙 Association of Realtors. Thats real estate-speak for how long it would take the existing supply of houses on the market to sell.

Six months of supply is normal. And while 窪蹋勛圖厙 is not quite there, she said the state has recovered from the low numbers seen last year.

In the spring, many of our towns were talking in weeks of supply. At one point Darien [had] three weeks supply, Felenstein said. Thats just unheard of.

Housing stock has improved, but prices remain high

While interest rates above 5% arent making the situation any more appealing, Felenstein advises potential buyers not to take themselves out of the market.

I think you have to take a long-range look at owning, so even if you buy something now and the interest rates are in the five or sixes, the likelihood is that your income is going to go up the longer that you live there and interest rates are likely to go down, and you can refinance, she said.

The median sales price in 窪蹋勛圖厙 for a single-family home was , while the National Association of Realtors recorded a national median sales price . And other experts agree that for a couple of years.

All while the housing affordability index the lowest since June 2006, when it fell to 100.5. When the affordability index falls, that means homeownership is becoming difficult to attain.

The index, tracked by the National Association of Realtors, measures whether an average family earns enough to qualify for a mortgage with a 20% down payment. An index well above 100 means a family has more than enough income to afford a home. Prior to the pandemic, the average index for 2019 was 159.7.

Still, first-time homebuyers have some opportunities for assistance.

A new income-eligible program, administered by the 窪蹋勛圖厙 Housing Finance Authority and the state Department of Housing, is offering forgivable loans for down payments and closing costs. The program, called , is geared toward helping low- to moderate-income families buy a home that might seem out of reach.

There are resources out there. The program gives you a down payment in order to purchase, and it goes between $25,000 to $50,000, Felenstein said.

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Camila Vallejo is a corps member with Report for America, a national service program that places journalists in local newsrooms. She is a bilingual reporter based out of Fairfield County and welcomes all story ideas at cvallejo@ctpublic.org.

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